![]() ![]() What to know as states keep counting with key races hanging in the balance ![]() Votes are still being counted in several key states – including Arizona and Nevada, where a sweep of the Senate races by either party would result in control of the chamber.Īrizona and Nevada also have competitive races for governor, secretary of state and more to be decided in the coming days.Īn election worker boxes tabulated ballots inside the Maricopa County Recorders Office, Wednesday, Nov. The GOP is now in a race-by-race fight that will ultimately determine McCarthy’s ability to govern. As the votes continue to be counted, the coming days will likely reveal the strength of a new GOP House majority – and whether a potentially underwhelming performance undermines Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s standing within a rancorous GOP conference. Republicans appear poised to take control but there are scant signs of the big night they were hoping for. The shape of the House, too, remains uncertain. Republicans now need to win two of those three to claim a majority, but the Georgia Senate race will go to a runoff in December after no candidate won more than 50% of the vote. Fetterman’s victory in Pennsylvania, flipping a GOP seat, gave Democrats some breathing room as they await results from Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. To start, control of the Senate remains up for grabs. The difference in support for Democratic House candidates in 2006 between voters under 30 (60%) and those 65 and older (49%) was 11 points.Here are takeaways as votes are still being counted in key races:Įlection Day is over but the fundamental questions of this election cycle remain unanswered. In fact, Democrats won every age group (under 30, 30-44, 45-65 and 65+) in the 2006 midterms. ![]() Remember, though, that Democrats easily won the House popular vote in 2006, while they’ll probably lose it by a couple of points this year. Democrats won 60% of their vote, which isn’t all that different from the 63% of voters under 30 they won this year. Notably, today’s Democratic Party relies on the youngest of voters in a way that it historically hadn’t – at least not until the last few elections.Ĭonsider the first midterm ( 2006) when millennials made up a significant share of voters under 30. This year, they backed Democratic House candidates by only 11 points. These older millennials were the strongest supporters of Barack Obama during his 2008 primary campaign and eventual ascendency to the presidency. Voters between 30 and 39 are the oldest millennials. Voters under 30 are partially Generation Z (those born after 1996) and partially the youngest millennials. What is perhaps especially interesting is that voters under 30 seemed to vote significantly more Democratic than those aged 30 to 39. Democrats lost every age slice of the electorate 45 years and older by at least 7 points, including a 12-point loss among senior citizens (age 65 and older). This is significantly different from other age groups, the exit polls show. Democratic House candidates won voters under the age of 45 by 13 points, while losing voters age 45 and older by 10 points.īreaking it down further, House Democratic candidates won voters under 30 by 28 points – that’s an increase from their 26-point edge with this group two years ago. While they may not have made up a larger share of the electorate than normal, young voters still made their presence felt.ĭemocrats would have gotten crushed without young voter support. Interactive: Anatomy of a close election: How Americans voted in 2022 vs. It could therefore be argued that young voters did turn out in larger numbers than they have historically, but that is true of every age group. Now, overall turnout is likely to be higher this year compared with most past midterms. ( Other data, too, shows that younger voters did not make up a significantly larger portion of the electorate compared with prior midterms.) In every midterm in the last 20 years, this group has made up between 11% and 13% of the electorate. Voters under the age of 30 made up 12% of all voters. The lack of a youth surge becomes quickly apparent when you look at the exit polls. But it does suggest that Democrats defied election expectations this year because of a historically large age gap that saw young voters overwhelmingly back Democratic candidates. Why were the midterm elections close? Exit polls offer clues.Ī look at the data suggests there probably wasn’t a surge of youth participation relative to the rest of the electorate. After months of candidates campaigning, Americans are voting in the midterm elections to decide close races across the nation. LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - NOVEMBER 08: People vote at the Meadows Mall on Novemin Las Vegas, Nevada. ![]()
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